So amidst a sea of important questions (are we heading into Stagflation? what will the Fed say next week? Is Bitcoin really a safe haven?) possibly the most important question of the day is have we reached peak gilet? I ask because having watched all the cool kids wear gilets for the last few years I have finally taken the plunge and may well be responsible as a result for calling the top of the trend. You wear a gilet for one of two reasons imho – either because you’re a bit skinny and want to…

I was in the Cotswold’s at the weekend and it really is a lovely place. It has the unique ability to convince me that I’d rather have a cup of tea at 3pm on a Saturday than a beer which has to be some kind of sorcery. Last week took its toll, Equity markets constantly moving lower with very little good news to report on and in good British fashion sometimes the best thing to do in these situations is have a cup of tea. By lunch time I was 3 down as the moves from last week seemed set to continu…

They say all good things come to an end and today sees the last day of an illustrious stockbroking career for Jeremy Evans who was one of a small group who founded Redburn almost exactly twenty years ago. Jezza’s aim in 2003 was to build up a business that brought unique research, sales and execution skills back to the forefront of equity markets. Those aspirations still firmly in our blood here at Redburn Atlantic and seemingly more important than ever as we help clients navigate ever more com…

Earnings season well and truly underway and tomorrow might provide the first day of ‘earnings overload’ where the first two hours of the day are undoubtedly going to be spent feverishly flicking through numbers and trying to work out what it all means. A small hint of it today but still only a handful whilst tomorrow provides an escalation to that with Schindler, Roche, Pernod, Nestle, Vivendi, EssilorLuxotica and LSE all updating. Sadly the increase in earnings doesn’t always lend itself to hi…

Goldman Sachs reported today (strong if a little messy) but I was more interested in the news/confirmation that DJ-D Sol (David Solomon) has officially hung up his decks after what had been quite a colourful hobby DJ’ing around the world. A shame that the public/media attention got in the way of a hobby but he did manage to play at Tomorrowland and Lollapalooza so ticked off a couple on the DJ bucket list alongside running one of the biggest banks in the world. The closest I’ve got is hogging t…

I’m not sure if ‘Rugby World Cup hangover’ was to blame for the quiet start to the week but it felt like it may have had a little impact. I’m a sports fan, watch pretty much everything, and that was simply an outstanding weekend of rugby which restored my faith in the sport providing enthralling, exhilarating games with all four games firmly in the balance with 5 minutes to go. Superb stuff but it is safe to say today’s tape was more like a tedious 5min TMO decision for a knock on than a drop g…

Maybe the most positive thing to take from today was that despite Fresenius Medical (-17%), Fresenius (-8%), LVMH (-6%), Richemont (-4%) all down fairly hard and a bunch of warnings across the UK (Travis Perkins, Page group, Forterra) we still managed to eke out a gain with the Stoxx 600 closing up 15bps. “Where would we be without Novo Nordisk?” a client asked me today and the answer undoubtedly is lower! It was arguably a bit of a nothing day all things considered with Fed minutes this eveni…

A week in France away from the screens a lovely break but I still managed to provide some humour for my family as I asked where the village of ‘Rappel’ actually was whilst driving along the French countryside and seeing multiple signs for it – clearly a little reminder that my limited French was indeed very limited. Today’s Equity rally took inspiration from a pop in Treasuries that have been battered of late once they reopened in Asian trading following some fairly dovish comments yesterday fr…

Those of us that commute into London via rail have by now got used to train strikes, & those of us early birds travelling in at stupid-o-clock know the day after a train strike (today for instance) is impacted too. Luckily for me, coming in from Shenfield I rely heavily on the Elizabeth Line (Crossrail) which was described by the manufacturer of its rolling stock as a line that will “transform London”. Well, that manufacturer is none other than Alstom, and the only transforming they’ve done tod…

“It’s a new dawn, it’s a new day, it’s a new life for me… and I’m feelin’ good…” The dulcet tones of Nina Simone were running through my head this morning as we headed into Q4 with a US gov’t shut down averted, China ‘official’ PMI data Saturday morning beating cons, and signs of early qtr confidence… BUT… and there is a but! The congratulatory applauding by US politicians for staying up late on Saturday to get a deal over the line only kicks the can further down the road, with far right Republ…