Daily Snapshot – 26 September 2024

Going to file this in the category of ‘things you don’t see very often’: Stoxx Oil & Gas vs Stoxx Basic Resources had its widest spread in performance (7.3%) since the 9th March 2020. If that isn’t the sort of dislocation that gives you a bit of life on a damp Thursday morning I don’t know what will. The main story remains China and I thinks it’s fair to call this week some of the most concerted, concise efforts to convince the markets that this time is real, significant and signals a turning p…

Daily Snapshot – 25 September 2024

“Use it, or lose it” one of my favourite Referee sayings from my younger days playing Rugby in the driving rain and wind on a fairly waterlogged Scottish pitch. Fairly nostalgic but I heard it today in a completely different context as we had time to look at Q4 and more importantly our remaining holiday days left to take – no one wants to lose holiday days due to erm…not taking them! Q3 Earnings really kick off on the 10th/11th October so I’m dashing away next week though probably wont find wea…

Daily Snapshot – 24 September 2024

Is this the turning point for China the question on everyone’s minds today.. and probably rightly so! News overnight of a ‘Stimulus blitz’ by China as Bloomberg described it across many areas from a cut to the 7 day RRR and Policy rate cut as well more support for the property market and some markets stability initiatives also. A lot to go through and digest though the market reaction on the face of it all quite orderly and somewhat predictable. Anything remotely exposed to China has been the l…

Daily Snapshot – 23 September 2024

A ‘Monday-like Monday’ the best way to describe today as Equity markets failed to get into 2nd gear (Stoxx 600 +40bps) though that isn’t out of the norm for Mondays at the moment. A day to assess some poor European data, talk about the weather (which just so happens is equally as damp as the data) more than normal and to get things in order for the week ahead. A raft of European PMI’s one of the only things to grab from this mornings session – The main trend/theme change was that services PMI’…

Daily Snapshot – 19 September 2024

A hawkish 50bp cut – now I’ve heard it all!!…..But that is what we got and the market positively loved it! The Stoxx 600 climbed 1.4% buoyed by renewed hope of a successful soft landing and seemingly undeterred by the hawkish dot plot/messaging from the Fed in terms of what is to come. Powell channelling his inner Simone Biles if he manages to pirouette, twist, turn, flip, flip again and stick this but so far….so good! Our view – The FOMC has clearly prioritised preserving strong growth and fu…

Daily Snapshot – 17 September 2024

So he uses the distribution list but doesn’t fancy actually Hijacking the Snapshot itself!? All for good reason it has to be said as he hosted what was a great and insightful call with indeed some of our finest minds hoping to point out a few things people should be focussed on as we attempt to navigate the rest of 2024 without too much stress. Loads of things discussed including what would Trump mean for inflation/Stagflation, what makes us think CPI is going to pick up into year end, why we f…

Daily Snapshot – 12 September 2024

One of those ‘not much to see here folks’ days in European equities where we followed the U.S. higher in early trading and drifted a little throughout the session as it seemed the Jensen Huang surge ran out of a little steam. The Stoxx 600 ended +80bps but traded within a pretty tight range on a fairly uneventful day it has to be said. U.S. data was broadly in line with expectations (which always helps) for PPI and Jobless claims and nothing really to trouble the scorers post yesterday’s CPI wi…

Daily Snapshot – 11 September 2024

It’s all about living life on the wild side and that meant a long weekend spent at London Zoo, power washing the patio and hanging a number pictures on the wall that have been collecting dust for… erm…quite some time. Productivity levels high in the Morrison household and September really does feel like a big month on that front for the whole of the market. Investors back in their seats, volumes picking up, out of office replies dwindling – all things pointing towards quite a big few weeks ahe…

Daily Snapshot – 2 September 2024

I was trying desperately to think of reasons not to compose a Snapshot today (plenty) but there was just enough out to convince me it was the right thing to do despite the Stoxx 600 ending the day flat. Our U.S/Canadian friends off for Labor day and the Labor market feels like number one focus as we get the next NFP reading this Friday which will go a long way to dictate the size of the first Fed cut later this month (Remember what happened last NFP!?!). Seasonality isn’t great for the next few…

Daily Snapshot – 29 August 2024

Hold the press – we had a very late entry to the Biscuit competition and it has gone right to the top of the charts – A Garibaldi. How have I never had one of these before?! Not too sweet, certainly not to be dunked in a cuppa but its stood the test of time, being consumed for over 150 years! Looking at the session today it turned out that Nvidia wasn’t that important for us in Europe as the Stoxx 600 headed towards a new all-time high but didn’t quite make it (DAX did make an all-time high) a…